The Future of the Internet
Your Immediate Future and the
Internet
• Job Searches: monster.com, daily
newspapers, potential employers
• New browsers (Firefox) and methods of
accessing internet (cell phone)
The Near Future of the Internet
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Increased bandwidth
More Cable Modems and DSL connections
Fewer telephone/modem connections
More video/animation/sound
What will the future look like?
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What will this do for design?
What will be the languages/software used?
Opportunities for software companies?
More or less accessible to non-professionals?
Effectiveness of static websites?
Will there be “two webs”?
Websites Combine all Media
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Video and Animation and Text.
Skills become more specialized.
All-purpose web designers less common.
But, convergence opens up entertainment industry:
more jobs and cheaper to produce visual
entertainment.
• More forms of entertainment and e-commerce are
possible. (May be more interactive.)
• Internet ratings
Convergence
• Combine:
internet/the web
telephone
television
radio
print
Think digital cable companies now.
“What’s Wrong with the PC?”
• Do we need a large clunky desktop or laptop
computer?
• Can we have appliances to do what we need?
…including web access (through cell phones, etc.)
…e-mail.
…photo printers.
• Appliances both support and reject idea of
Convergence.
• Which do you prefer?
Cable Television Forging Ahead
• DVR
• OnDemand services
• Alter advertising model
The End of Wires
Wireless technology eliminates phones,
cables, etc.
Cable television reverts back to broadcast with
decoders?
No phone wires?
Developing countries
Everything Gets Bigger
“Screens” are larger
• Flat screen television
• Wall televisions
“Screens” are everywhere
• Every room of the house
• Waiting rooms
• Stores
• Cars
Everything Gets Smaller
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PDAs
Watches
Clothes
Glasses
Small projector
Web/Internet Interfaces
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Pen
Voice
Finger
Projection/Touchscreen “sensor”
Eye
Biofeedback possibilities
“Talk to your television”
“The Invisible Computer”
• Intelligent Agents
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Refrigerator/Supermarket
Supply Cabinet/Supply Company
Track kids and older folks
Clothes/Hospital & Doctor
• Active Messenger (MIT): sends message to any
number of sources, depending on where owner
might be. Analyzes importance of message.
Internet Communication
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Text messages through cell phones now.
Faxes can get converted to e-mails now.
Voice messages replace e-mail or complement it.
What are advantages of each?
Cell phones replaced by something smaller: all
voice controlled? Or more of a reliance on text
messaging: requires literate society.
Cultural and Political Changes I
• Picture phones.
Form of communication. Stay in hand
• Howard Dean
Cultural and Political Changes II
• Short Message Service (SMS) messaging.
• In some countries, cheaper than phone
service. Cell phones much more common
than PCs.
• Philippines: 2001. President Estrada lost
power to “smart mob” and text messaging
Cultural and Political Changes III
• Seattle: 1999. World Trade Organization
protests.
• Toronto: 2000. Violent protest webcast.
• South Korea: 2002. Presidential election.
Digital Lifestyle I:
Entertainment on the Internet
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Watch shows and films
Participate in plays (avatars)
Multiplayer games exist now
Play games/shows. Will others watch?
Chats: what would happen if they became
more real? (not text or avatar based)
Digital Lifestyle II: E-Commerce
• More products will be sold on the web.
• “Bit” products may be downloaded.
• Newer generations will be more
comfortable with the internet/web.
• What products can’t/won’t be sold entirely
on the web? Why?
• Retail clerks are one of the largest work
forces in country.
Digital Lifestyle III
• Internet Dating (all purpose or based on
religion, college)
• Virtual work
• E-learning
• Friendster http://www.friendster.com
Problems with the Digital
Lifestyle
“Internet to Information Superhighway”
• With broadband, more mainstream content
• People will demand more lively, more
active sites.
• Less education/non-profit sites
Possible Negative Changes
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Flat fee vs. pay-per-use
Privacy issues (Google)
Information vs. Entertainment
Mass audience (videos and Blockbuster)
…or is it really a unique medium? Think BLOGS.
• Culture devalued (art, music, books) from
“information overload.”
Security Issues
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Individuals recorded in public places.
Too much information created.
Able to track one particular person.
GPS systems (employees/kids/older folks)
Rheingold’s: “Always on Panopticon”
(all-seeing place: formerly schools, prisions,
mental institutions)
Backlash against the Internet
• More face-to-face clubs
community theater, bowling
• More family and friend nights:
“turn off box”
• Or it all becomes merged.
Increases communication and more voice and
face to face contact emerges.
Finding new friends at the airport.
More information
becomes a part of life.
Enjoy the web.
Thanks for listening.
See you at the final.
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The Future of the Internet