NCLS church trends – so what for BUV?
Powerpoint summary prepared by Darren Cronshaw
for Baptist Union of Victoria (May 2015)
Drawing on Ruth Powell. ‘Trends in Australian Church Vitality: Denominational
Leaders Briefing.’ NCLS Research Report (NCLS Research: Sydney, 2015).
Accessible at http://www.ncls.org.au/default.aspx?sitemapid=7244
And other Baptist-specific resources
NCLS church trends ….
• Biggest church survey in world: 260000 attenders, 6000 leaders, 3000
churches, 23 denominations, 8 languages, every 5 years 1991-2011
• Snapshot of church life and health:
• locally and regionally
• how attenders view relationships internally, externally and with God
• attendance change including newcomers and young adult retention.
• Critical indicators for future directions, including evangelism and
children/youth/young adults Haemorrhaging Faith
• 2011 BUV NCLS: 8330 adult attenders in 79 Victorian Baptist churches (40%)
• Need 2016 NCLS broader representation to make BUV data more useful
…. So what for BUV?
Australia trends overall …
• Identify as Christians? 96% in 1911, 68% in 2001, 61.1% 2011
• Christian still largest religion (Buddhism 2nd largest 2.5%)
• “No religion” tripled 6.7% in 1971 to 22.3% in 2011
• Monthly church attendance? 36% in 1972, now 15%
•
Ageing 70+:
20-39 years:
12% population but 25% in church
34% population but 21% church
Average Vic Baptist?
McCrindle Blog, ‘A Demographic Snapshot of Christianity and Church Attenders in Australia’, 18
April 2014. http://mccrindle.com.au/the-mccrindle-blog/a-demographic-snapshot-of-christianityand-church-attenders-in-australia
Victorian Baptists:
- 47 years average age
- 55% female
- Higher educated
Vision?
Australians
churches
overall:
And
BUV:
Vision
(BUV specific)?
Attenders’
awareness and
commitment to
local church
VISION
Leadership
- Australians
churches overall
BUV:
Leadership
- BUV
specific
Vic Baptist
pastoral
leaders are
empowering
…. BUT ….
Leadership
- BUV specific
WHO feels less
empowered in
Vic Baptist
churches
(compared to in
other churches)?
a. Youth
b. Newcomers
“We believe in
priesthood of all
believers; but
practice
priesthood of
mature Baptist
believers”
Need for
INNOVATive
Leadership
Mission
Australians
churches
overall
Mission
- BUV specific
(2001, 2006,
2011)
Victorian Baptist churches involved in any kind of
community service in 1996 and 2006
BUT what about faith-sharing and inviting?
So ??? deed & word < deed and maybe word
References:
NCLS regional Church Life Profile: Baptist Churches Vic
Darren Cronshaw, Ruth Powell, Glen Powell, Nicole Hancock and Stacey Wilson,
‘Churches that Inspire and Empower: A Case Study Survey of the Baptist Union of
Victoria’, Australian eJournal of Theology 21:3 (Dec 2014), 212-233. Accessible at
http://aejt.com.au/2014/volume_21/vol_21_no_3_2014/?article=695189
Darren Cronshaw, Ruth Powell, Nicole Hancock, Sam Sterland and Stacey Wilson, ‘Churches with a Vision for the Future: a
profile of the Baptist Union of Victoria’, Australian eJournal of Theology 21:1 (April 2014), 63-81
http://aejt.com.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/623884/AEJT12.51_Churches_with_a_Vision_for_the_Future_Apr14_Vol21.1.pdf
Darren Cronshaw, Ruth Powell and Sam Sterland, NCLS, ‘Local churches in mission through word and deed: A case study of Baptist
Churches in Victoria using the National Church Life Survey’, Australian Journal of Mission Studies 5:2 (Dec 2011), 12-22, accessible at
http://repository.divinity.edu.au/1140/
Darren Cronshaw, Ruth Powell, Nicole Hancock, Sam Sterland, Stacey Wilson and Ian Duncum, ‘Churches who share their Faith: a
profile of the Baptist Union of Victoria’, Australian eJournal of Theology, 22:2 (forthcoming August 2015).
Philip Hughes and Darren Cronshaw, Baptists in Australia: A Church with a Heritage and a Future
(Melbourne: Christian Research Association, 2013)
McCrindle Blog, ‘A Demographic Snapshot of Christianity and Church Attenders in Australia’, 18 April 2014.
http://mccrindle.com.au/the-mccrindle-blog/a-demographic-snapshot-of-christianity-and-church-attenders-in-australia
Ruth Powell, Trends in Australian Church Vitality: Denominational Briefing. NCLS Research report
(Sydney: NCLS Research, 2015). http://www.ncls.org.au/default.aspx?sitemapid=7244
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